AMC 10 · 2008 · #22
Grade 7 probabilityPick an answer.
AMC 10 2008 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
Probability here is just (good arrangements)÷(all arrangements), so the work is careful counting — tool #2 (Make a Systematic List) leads. First count all orderings of the six beads. Then, instead of checking every color pair, tool #7 (Identify Subproblems) trims the job: the lone blue can never sit next to its own color, so 'valid' only means the three reds are kept apart and the two whites are kept apart. Tool #1 (Draw a Diagram) handles the reds — draw six slots and find every way to drop three reds so none touch — and then tool #2 finishes each red pattern by filling the leftover slots with W,W,B while keeping the whites apart. Divide the good count by the total.
Count all orderings
Same-color beads are interchangeable, so the number of distinct lines is , that is 60 — the denominator.
Swapping two identical beads does not make a new line, so divide out the ways each color group can be shuffled among itself.
Swapping two identical beads does not make a new line, so those shuffles must be divided out.
▸ Why?
Each arrangement is counted once for every reshuffle within a colour, so dividing removes the duplicates.
▸ Why?
After that division each real line corresponds to exactly one counted arrangement.
See which pairs can clash
Blue is alone, so a clash means two reds or two whites touching — keep the reds apart, then keep the whites apart.
The single blue never fights anyone, so the only rules to enforce are 'reds apart' and 'whites apart'.
7.SP.C.7Identify SubproblemsPlace three reds so none touch
Number the spots 1 to 6: the reds stay apart in exactly four ways — , , , .
Reds only stay apart if they land in every-other-ish slots, and there are just four such spacings.
7.SP.C.8Draw A DiagramFill the rest with W, W, B
Fill the three free spots with W, W, B and drop the cases where the whites touch: leaves 10 good lines.
Once the reds are set, the only remaining danger is the two whites landing side by side, which is easy to subtract off.
7.SP.C.8Identify SubproblemsDivide to get the probability
Out of 60 total lines, 10 are good, so the probability is — choice (C).
Probability of a fair setup is just the count of wins over the count of everything.
7.SP.C.7Make A Systematic ListWhen beads must avoid same-color neighbors, count the total lines, then pin down the crowded color first and slot the rest into the gaps that stay apart.
- Count all orderings
- See which pairs can clash
- Place three reds so none touch
- Fill the rest with W, W, B
- Divide to get the probability