AMC 10 · 2023 · #19
Grade 7 geometry-2dPick an answer.
AMC 10 2023 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
Direct computation across all four directions is messy, but symmetry collapses it. Tool #9 (Easier Problem): solve the conditional probability for ONE direction — say north — then use Tool #7 (Identify Subproblems) and the law of total probability with symmetry to get the full answer. Tool #1 (Diagram) does the heavy lifting: draw the (Y, D) rectangle and shade Y + D > 6 — the favorable region is a small right triangle whose area is read off by inspection.
By 90° symmetry all four directions share the same p, so the law of total probability gives P(out) = (p + p + p + p) = p.
Four identical copies, each weighted , just give the single copy back — symmetry turns the four-case problem into one case.
7.SP.C.7Solve An Easier Related ProblemHop north → (X, Y + D); X stays in [0, 6], so escaping means Y + D > 6 with Y ∼ U[0, 6] and D ∼ U[0, 1].
Only the y-coordinate can leave the square when hopping north — and only when start position is within 1 of the top edge.
7.SP.C.7Identify SubproblemsOn the 6 × 1 (Y, D) rectangle, the region Y + D > 6 is a right triangle with legs 1 and area .
Drawing the rectangle and the line Y + D = 6 makes the favorable region obvious — a right triangle with both legs equal to 1.
6.G.A.1Draw A DiagramProbability = area ratio = ()/6 = , so by step 1 P(out) = .
When two variables are uniform and independent, probability becomes area — divide favorable area by total area.
7.SP.C.7Identify SubproblemsBy rotational symmetry, the overall escape probability equals the probability of escaping when hopping in any one chosen direction (say north). For north, only the y-coordinate matters: shade the rectangle [0,6] × [0,1] of (Y, D) pairs, and the escape region Y + D > 6 is a right triangle with legs 1 and area . Divide by the total area 6 to get (B) .