Competition · AMC preparation · step 4 of 4
AMC 10 · 2023B · #19
Grade 7 geometry-2dPick an answer.
AMC 10 2023 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
Direct computation across all four directions is messy, but symmetry collapses it. Tool #9 (Easier Problem): solve the conditional probability for ONE direction — say north — then use Tool #7 (Identify Subproblems) and the law of total probability with symmetry to get the full answer. Tool #1 (Diagram) does the heavy lifting: draw the (Y, D) rectangle and shade Y + D > 6 — the favorable region is a small right triangle whose area is read off by inspection.
Use symmetry to pick one direction
By 90° symmetry all four directions share the same p, so the law of total probability gives P(out) = (p + p + p + p) = p.
Four identical copies, each weighted 1/4, just give the single copy back — symmetry turns the four-case problem into one case.
7.SP.C.7Solve An Easier Related ProblemTurn it into a 2D problem
Hop north → (X, Y + D); X stays in [0, 6], so escaping means Y + D > 6 with Y ∼ U[0, 6] and D ∼ U[0, 1].
Only the y-coordinate can leave the square when hopping north — and only when start position is within 1 of the top edge.
7.SP.C.7Identify SubproblemsDraw the sample rectangle
On the 6 × 1 (Y, D) rectangle, the region Y + D > 6 is a right triangle with legs 1 and area .
Drawing the rectangle and the line Y + D = 6 makes the favorable region obvious — a right triangle with both legs equal to 1.
6.G.A.1Draw A DiagramCompare the areas
Probability = area ratio = ()/6 = , so by step 1 P(out) = .
When two variables are uniform and independent, probability becomes area — divide favorable area by total area.
When two quantities are uniform and independent, the probability becomes an area.
▸ Why?
No point of the region is favoured over another, so the chance is measured by area.
▸ Why?
One quantity tells you nothing about the other, so the pair spreads evenly over a rectangle.
By rotational symmetry, the overall escape probability equals the probability of escaping when hopping in any one chosen direction (say north). For north, only the y-coordinate matters: shade the rectangle [0,6] × [0,1] of (Y, D) pairs, and the escape region Y + D > 6 is a right triangle with legs 1 and area . Divide by the total area 6 to get (B) .
- Use symmetry to pick one direction
- Turn it into a 2D problem
- Draw the sample rectangle
- Compare the areas
A parent dashboard for the family lives at sensimlab.com.