AMC 10 · 2004 · #4
Grade 7 probabilityPick an answer.
The phrase "at least one" is the standard trigger for Tool #16 (Change Focus / Count the Complement): the wanted event splits into three overlapping cases, while its opposite — "neither digit is a 7" — is one clean case with no overlap to police. Tool #2 (Make a Systematic List) supplies the digit-by-digit count that makes the complement easy. Tool #12 (Draw a Venn Diagram) then re-counts the same set the other way, as two overlapping groups minus their shared member, so the two methods can be checked against each other.
Count every possible pick
The picks number 90, all equally likely.
Before counting the ones you want, count how many there are altogether.
7.SP.C.7Make A Systematic ListFlip to "no 7 anywhere"
Flipping to the complement turns three overlapping cases into one clean condition.
One clean count of the opposite beats three overlapping counts of what you want.
Counting the numbers with no 7 anywhere is one clean count, while counting the ones that do have a 7 is three overlapping ones.
▸ Why?
Everything either has a 7 or has none, so subtracting the ones with none from the whole leaves exactly the ones that do.
▸ Why?
Each digit slot is chosen independently of the others, so the number of ways is the slot counts multiplied together.
Count the numbers with no 7
Eight tens digits times nine ones digits gives 72 with no seven.
Each digit slot is a separate menu, and separate menus multiply.
7.SP.C.8Make A Systematic ListSubtract and simplify
Subtracting leaves 18, and reducing gives 1/5.
Take away the numbers that avoid the 7, and what remains are exactly the ones that hit it.
7.SP.C.5Change Focus Count The ComplementRe-count the other way to confirm
A direct count that removes the double-counted 77 confirms 1/5, choice (B).
Two overlapping groups hold (first + second - shared) members, never the plain sum.
7.SP.C.8Draw A Venn DiagramWhen a question says "at least one", count the ones with none and subtract — a single clean count beats three overlapping ones.
- Count every possible pick
- Flip to "no 7 anywhere"
- Count the numbers with no 7
- Subtract and simplify
- Re-count the other way to confirm