AMC 10 · 2021 · #6

Grade 7 probability
probability-basiclinear-equations-one-varratio-proportionfraction-arithmetic convert-to-algebraguess-and-check ↑ Prerequisites: probability-basic
📏 Medium solution 💡 2 insights
Problem
A deck holds only red and black cards. Right now a card drawn at random is red with probability one third. Four more black cards are dropped in, and now a random card is red with probability one quarter. Find how many cards the deck held before the four were added.

Pick an answer.

(A)
6
(B)
9
(C)
12
(D)
15
(E)
18
How to solve
Strategy Introduce a Variable

The question asks for one number, so Tool #4 (Introduce a Variable) names it: let n be the original deck size. Every other quantity in the story — red count, black count, new deck size — is then an expression in n, which is exactly what Tool #13 (Convert to Algebra) needs to turn the two probability sentences into one equation. Tool #6 (Guess and Check) closes the loop by rebuilding the actual deck from the answer and re-reading both probabilities off it. Tool #3 (Eliminate Possibilities) is the backup route: divisibility alone kills four of the five choices.

1STEP 1

Name the deck size

Express the red count via the total.

red/n = 1/3 → red = n/3
2STEP 2

See what stays fixed

The red count stays put.

new red = n/3, new total = n + 4
3STEP 3

Turn the second fact into an equation

The new probability gives an equation.

n/3/(n + 4) = 1/4
4STEP 4

Solve for the size

Tidying gives the size.

4 · n/3 = n + 4 → 4n/3 - n = 4 → n/3 = 4 → n = 12
5STEP 5

Rebuild and check

Counting it out confirms 12.

12 = 4 red + 8 black → 4 red + 12 black = 16, 4/16 = 1/4 ✓
Answer
12
The direction is right: adding black cards can only make red rarer, and 1/4 < 1/3, so the answer should exist. The size is right too — the red pile turned out to be 4 cards, the same as the number of black cards added, which is why the denominator went from 3 parts to 4 parts. And 12 passes both divisibility tests at once: 12 is a multiple of 3 (so 1/3 is exact) and 12 + 4 = 16 is a multiple of 4 (so 1/4 is exact).
💡Key takeaway

Name the deck size n, notice the red cards never change while the total grows by 4, and one equation n/3/(n+4) = 1/4 hands you n = 12.

  • Name the deck size
  • See what stays fixed
  • Turn the second fact into an equation
  • Solve for n
  • Rebuild the deck and check