Competition · AMC preparation · step 4 of 4
AMC 8 · 2015 · #7
Grade 7 probabilityPick an answer.
AMC 8 2015 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
There are only 3 × 3 = 9 outcomes, small enough to list every pair explicitly — Tool #2 (Systematic List) is the cleanest fit for this size. The wording "product is even" is a classic trigger for Tool #16 (Complement): "even product" splits into many cases, but "odd product" needs both factors odd — only 2 × 2 = 4 pairs. We compute 1 - 4/9 instead of summing five cases. Tool #3 (Eliminate) is a check: only one of the five fractions can match a count out of 9.
Count all outcomes
Multiplication principle: Box 1 has 3 choices, Box 2 has 3, so there are 3 × 3 = 9 equally likely ordered pairs (a, b).
Listing (1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (2,1), …, (3,3) in row order gives all 9 pairs with no repeats and no gaps — the heart of Tool #2.
7.SP.C.8Make A Systematic ListState the parity rule
Parity rule: a × b is even unless both are odd, so count the easier complement instead — pairs with both numbers odd.
Even times anything is even, so the only way the product stays odd is if neither factor is even. That single observation turns the problem from 5 cases into 1 case.
The product of the two drawn numbers is even in every case except the one where both drawn numbers are odd.
▸ Why?
If either drawn number is even, it already carries a factor of 2, and that factor passes into the product no matter what the other number is — so an even factor times anything is even.
▸ Why?
If both drawn numbers are odd, neither one brings a factor of 2, so the product has no factor of 2 — and odd times odd stays odd.
Count the odd products
Odd chips {1, 3} in each box give 2 × 2 = 4 odd-product pairs: (1,1), (1,3), (3,1), (3,3).
The systematic list keeps the count honest — exactly 4 ordered pairs of odd numbers, no more, no less.
7.SP.C.8Make A Systematic ListSubtract to get even products
Subtract from the total: 9 - 4 = 5 pairs have an even product — (1,2), (2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (3,2).
Complement counting: total - unwanted = wanted. This avoided having to enumerate five separate even-product cases from scratch.
7.SP.C.8Change Focus Count The ComplementWrite the probability
Probability = favorable ÷ total = , which matches choice (E).
Among the five choices, 5/9 is the only fraction with denominator 9 that comes from a count of 5 out of 9 equally likely outcomes — the others are eliminated.
7.SP.C.7Eliminate PossibilitiesWhen a problem says "the product is even," flip it around and count when it is odd instead — both numbers odd is just one tiny case to check.
- Count all outcomes
- State the parity rule
- Count the odd products
- Subtract to get even products
- Write the probability
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