AMC 10 · 2015 · #16
Grade 7 probabilityPick an answer.
AMC 10 2015 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
The condition links the three numbers by divisibility, so first reorganize it (Tool #15): since the numbers are distinct and each divides the next, Cal's number is strictly smaller than Bill's, which is strictly smaller than Al's. That turns the question into counting divisor chains. Split the work into two subproblems (Tool #7): how many favorable chains exist, and how many total assignments exist. The favorable chains are few and structured, so a systematic list (Tool #2) catches every one without missing or repeating.
Turn the rule into an order
Since the numbers differ and each divides the next, a divisor must be smaller — so the chain is forced to Cal < Bill < Al.
A divisor of a bigger, different number can only be a smaller number, so the divisibility rule fixes the order.
4.OA.B.4Organize Information In More WaysCount all equally likely assignments
Ignore the rule and deal three distinct numbers: 10 · 9 · 8 = 720 equally likely assignments form the denominator.
Each named person gets a slot, so multiply the shrinking number of choices for each.
7.SP.C.7Identify SubproblemsList every divisor chain
List chains by Cal: Cal =1 gives 4+2+1+1 = 8, Cal =2 gives 1, Cal ≥ 3 gives none — 9 favorable chains in all.
Sorting the chains by the smallest number keeps the count complete and free of repeats.
4.OA.B.4Make A Systematic ListDivide favorable by total
Each chain is exactly one assignment, so 9/720 = 1/80 — choice (C).
Probability of the compound event is just the count that works over the count of everything possible.
7.SP.C.8Identify SubproblemsWhen distinct numbers must each divide the next, they have to climb in size — so just list the few chains that fit and divide by all the ways to deal the numbers out.
- Turn the rule into an order
- Count all equally likely assignments
- List every divisor chain
- Divide favorable by total