AMC 10 · 2018 · #11
Grade 7 probabilityPick an answer.
AMC 10 2018 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
There are 6⁷ equally likely ordered rolls, so n is simply the count of rolls that total 10 — a 'how many ways' counting question, which is Tool #2 (Make a Systematic List). Tool #9 (Solve an Easier Related Problem): instead of asking each face to land between 1 and 6, give every die its smallest value 1 first; that uses up 7 and leaves only 3 extra dots to hand out, a much smaller problem. Tool #4 (Introduce a Variable): write each die as 1+e_i so the leftover dots e_i become the real unknowns. Tool #7 (Identify Subproblems): the count splits cleanly by how the 3 extra dots are grouped, and the three small counts add to the answer.
See what n counts
Every ordered roll is equally likely and there are 6⁷ in all, so n is the count of ordered rolls that add to 10.
When all outcomes are equally likely, the top number is just a head-count of the good ones.
7.SP.C.7Make A Systematic ListGive every die its 1 first
Give each die its minimum 1 first; that uses 7, so writing d_i=1+e_i leaves the extras with e₁+…+e₇=3.
Paying the minimum cost up front shrinks a big sum into a tiny one.
6.EE.B.6Solve An Easier Related ProblemCheck the top cap never bites
Each die can take at most 5 extra dots, but only 3 exist, so the cap never bites and the dots share freely.
If you only have 3 dots to give, no die can possibly overflow.
6.EE.B.6Use Matrix LogicList the cases by how the 3 dots split
Split by shape: 3 on one die is 7; a 2-and-1 is 7·6=42; three lone 1s is (7·6·5)/3!=35.
Sorting the outcomes by their pattern makes sure none are missed or double-counted.
7.SP.C.8Make A Systematic ListAdd the cases
The three cases don't overlap and cover every split, so add them: 7+42+35=84 — that count of rolls summing to 10 is choice (E).
Separate, non-overlapping cases simply add up to the whole count.
7.SP.C.8Identify SubproblemsGive every die its smallest value first, then just count how to share the few leftover dots: spreading 3 extra dots among 7 dice gives 7+42+35=84, choice (E).
- See what n counts
- Give every die its 1 first
- Check the top cap never bites
- List the cases by how the 3 dots split
- Add the cases