AMC 10 · 2016 · #23
Grade 10 probabilityPick an answer.
There is no finite list of outcomes here, so counting is replaced by measuring. Tool #1 and #17 turn the experiment into geometry: one draw of (x,y,z) is one point of the unit cube, and because the three numbers are uniform and independent, the probability of any event is exactly the volume of the matching region. The success region is carved out by three inequalities at once and is awkward to measure head-on. Tool #14 (Extreme Principle) shows that only the largest of the three numbers can break the triangle test, so failure is a single clean condition instead of three. That makes tool #16 (Count the Complement) the efficient route: measure the three failure blocks, which turn out to be pyramids, and subtract from the cube's volume of 1. Tool #4 keeps the bookkeeping honest by naming the three coordinates and writing the conditions as inequalities in them.
Turn the draw into a point in a cube
The draw is a point in a unit cube.
Uniform and independent means the dart lands evenly over the whole cube, so chance is just how much room a region takes up.
10.G-MG.A.1Draw A DiagramWrite the triangle test as inequalities
The test is three inequalities.
To close up a triangle, the two short walks must together outreach the direct one.
9.A-CED.A.3Introduce A VariableOnly the largest side can fail
Only the largest can fail.
A short side can never outreach the other two combined, so only the longest side is ever in danger of being too long.
A short side can never outreach the other two combined, so only the longest side is ever in danger.
▸ Why?
A triangle closes exactly when any two sides together reach further than the third.
▸ Why?
A shorter side is already below one of the others alone, so it cannot beat their sum.
Measure one failure block
One failure block is easy to measure.
The bad region is a stack of triangles that grows steadily to full size, which is exactly what a pyramid is.
10.G-GMD.A.3Visualize Spatial RelationshipsAdd the three failure blocks
There are three such blocks.
Two different numbers cannot both be at least the sum of the other two, so the three bad corners do not share real space.
10.S-CP.B.7Change Focus Count The ComplementSubtract to get the answer
Subtracting gives 1/2, choice (C).
Everything that is not a failure is a success, so one subtraction finishes the job.
10.S-CP.A.1Change Focus Count The ComplementTreat the three numbers as one point in a unit cube: the only way to fail is for one number to be at least the other two combined, and those three failure pyramids fill exactly half the cube.
- Turn the draw into a point in a cube
- Write the triangle test as inequalities
- Only the largest side can fail
- Measure one failure block
- Add the three failure blocks
- Subtract to get the answer