AMC 10 · 2009 · #25
Grade 7 probabilitygeometry-3dPick an answer.
AMC 10 2009 problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA AMC). Reproduced for educational use.
The whole problem turns on seeing, in 3D, what an encircling stripe actually is: a belt of 4 faces wrapping around the cube while skipping one opposite pair. Tool #17 (Visualize Spatial Relationships) is the unlock for that mental picture and for spotting why two belts cannot both close at once. Tool #1 (Draw a Diagram) keeps a labeled cube sketch so 'this face's stripe must run this way' stays concrete. Tool #7 (Identify Subproblems) splits the job into: (i) the chance one chosen belt closes, then (ii) combine the three belts. Tool #2 (Make a Systematic List) both fixes the size of the sample space (2⁶ = 64) and gives a clean favorable-count cross-check (12 of 64).
Count all equally likely outcomes
Each of the 6 faces independently takes 1 of 2 orientations, so the whole cube has 2⁶ = 64 equally likely patterns.
Six independent two-way choices multiply into one big sample space of 64 equally likely cubes.
7.SP.C.8Make A Systematic ListPicture an encircling stripe as a band
A loop around the cube crosses 4 faces as a belt and skips one top-and-bottom pair; with 3 such pairs there are exactly 3 belts.
A belt around a cube always skips one opposite pair, and there are only three such pairs.
6.G.A.4Visualize Spatial RelationshipsProbability one chosen band closes
Fix one belt: each of its 4 faces must take the one orientation running along it, so it closes with probability (1/2)⁴ = 1/16.
Four faces must each hit their one 'aligned' side, and 1/2 four times over is 1/16.
7.SP.C.8Identify SubproblemsBands cannot overlap
Any two belts share a face that each would need pointing the other way, so at most one belt closes: the three events are mutually exclusive.
A shared face can point only one way, so at most one belt can ever close on a given cube.
A shared face can point only one way, so at most one belt can ever close on a given cube.
▸ Why?
Once a face commits to one belt, the other belts through it are ruled out with no choice left.
▸ Why?
The three belts therefore never happen together, so their chances simply add.
Add the three disjoint bands
Disjoint events add, so the chance some belt closes is 3 × 1/16 = 3/16, matching the direct count 12 of 64. Choice (B).
Disjoint events just add, and the tidy 12/64 count confirms the 3/16 answer.
6.RP.A.3Identify SubproblemsA stripe going all the way around the cube is just a belt of 4 faces that skips a top-and-bottom pair; there are 3 such belts, each closes with chance (1/2)⁴ = 1/16, and since two belts can never close at once you add them: 3 × 1/16 = 3/16, choice (B).
- Count all equally likely outcomes
- Picture an encircling stripe as a band
- Probability one chosen band closes
- Bands cannot overlap
- Add the three disjoint bands